1.25x InCred Nifty MLD: Smarter Investing with Principal Protection

A real-world story of how this Market Linked Debenture (MLD) played out over 3.3 years


In January 2022, InCred Financial Services launched a Market Linked Debenture (MLD) that was linked to the NIFTY 50 index. The offer was simple:

  • 100% Principal Protection

  • 1.25x the upside of NIFTY 50 at maturity

At a time of rising uncertainty, this structure promised both peace of mind and equity-linked returns.

Let’s break down how it actually performed — and why it worked well for investors.


The Structure at a Glance:

  • Issuer: InCred Financial Services

  • Payoff: 125% of NIFTY 50 returns

  • Principal Protection: Yes (no downside risk)

  • Allotment Date: 19-Jan-2022

  • Maturity Date: 8-May-2025


A Rocky Start: NIFTY Fell Right After Launch

Just weeks after launch, global events shook markets:

  • Russia invaded Ukraine (Feb 24, 2022)

  • Oil spiked above $100/barrel

  • Inflation worries rose

  • The US Fed signaled rate hikes

  • FIIs pulled out of Indian equities

The NIFTY 50 dropped from 18,000 to 16,300 in just over a month.

But this MLD used averaging — not just one day’s data — to determine entry level.

Initial NIFTY Observations:

Date NIFTY Level
19-Jan-2022      18,000
24-Feb-2022      16,300
31-Mar-2022      17,500

Initial Level (Average): 17,267

This structure reduced the impact of short-term panic.


NIFTY 50: A Volatile Journey (2020–24)

From 2022 to early 2024, the market remained uncertain:

  • Recession fears

  • Rate hikes globally

  • War, inflation, elections

  • Budget speculations

Through all of this, those holding this MLD had one key advantage:
Their principal was 100% protected.

That’s a strong reason to stay invested during tough times.


The End Game: Where Did NIFTY Land?

By late 2024, the market had rallied — then cooled:

  • Rate cuts delayed

  • Profit booking by FIIs

  • Budget caution

  • Valuations stretched

Still, the NIFTY 50 ended higher than where it began.

Final NIFTY Observations:

Date NIFTY Level
28-Nov-2024      23,914
26-Dec-2024      23,750
30-Jan-2025      23,249

Final Level (Average): 23,638


Performance Comparison

Let’s see how this MLD stacked up against direct NIFTY investment:

Particulars Entry Level  Exit Level  Absolute   Returns   CAGR
NIFTY (single buy & hold)    18,000   23,250   29.20%   8.10%
NIFTY (avg like MLD)    17,267   23,638   36.90%   10.00%
MLD (125% of NIFTY returns)    17,267   23,638    46.10%   12.20%

 

What This Tells Us

  • Averaging Works
    The structure smoothed entry and exit — shielding investors from bad timing.
  • Volatility Is Part of the Game
    Markets dipped due to macro shocks. But recovery followed.
  • MLDs Promote Discipline
    When your capital is protected, it’s easier to stay calm — and stay invested.
  • Better Risk-Adjusted Returns
    Even in a volatile phase, this MLD gave a 46% return — outperforming NIFTY due to its 1.25x multiplier.

 

Final Thought: The Power of Structure

In simple terms:

Principal Protection + 125% of Upside + Averaged Entry/Exit
= A Better Way to Stay Invested

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only. It is not intended to offer, promote, or sell Market Linked Debentures (MLDs) or any other financial products.

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